Common property rights, adaptive capacity, and response to forest disturbance   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Eric A. Coleman 《Global Environmental Change》2011,21(3):855-865

This paper reports the results of a statistical analysis which measures the effects of adaptive capacity on forest conditions in response to a prior disturbance. Particular emphasis is placed on common property rights as a form of institutional adaptive capacity. Common property rights are delineated in terms of rights of access, withdrawal, management, exclusion, and alienation. Using statistical analysis of 326 forest user groups from 13 countries in the database of the International Forestry Resources and Institutions (IFRI) program, the effects on user group rankings of forest conditions are estimated with a probability model. Overall, the results indicate that user groups with more complete property rights are more likely to rank forest conditions favorably. However, the effects of property rights also depend on the level of other forms of adaptive capacity such as the organizational capacity of the group and the number of rival user groups.  相似文献   

呼和浩特市城区发展对大气环境的影响分析     

李喜仓  白美兰  马玉峰  刘克利  冯晓晶  杨晶 《气象》2011,37(12):1572-1577

基于呼和浩特市近50年逐日定时地面气象资料、2002—2006年的逐日07时和19时各标准层探空资料、2001—2006年逐日主要污染物浓度和主要污染源源强、1961—2006年社会经济数据、2002年城区建设现状及1996—2010年城市总体规划资料,利用区域边界层模式模拟方法,研究了呼和浩特市城区建设发展对大气环境的影响。结果表明：（1）呼和浩特市城区发展后（规划后）气温高于现状（规划前）,城区中心气温与周边地区气温差增大,城市热岛效应增强;（2）呼和浩特城区规划后冬季气流汇集辐合区域增多,辐合能力增强,从而使冬季大气污染加剧;（3）呼和浩特市城区扩展后引起的下垫面热力与动力参数变化,将导致气流场发生显著变化,使得污染物的辐合能力增强。总体而言,呼和浩特市城区规划后虽增加了部分绿地等面积,但建筑物的增高增密、下垫面性质的改变,将使大气环境扩散能力减弱,大气污染加重。  相似文献   

相关性对BLAST系统信道容量性能的影响     

张唯希  周杰 《南京气象学院学报》2011,(4):380-384

贝尔实验室分层空-时(Bell Labs Layered Space-Time,BLAST)通信系统相比其他的通信系统具有更高的频谱效率,能有效地提高系统信道容量.利用指数相关矩阵和均匀相关矩阵模型,分析比较了相关信道下BLAST系统的信道容量,并利用Matlab进行仿真.仿真结果表明:利用指数相关矩阵模型,BLAST系统可以获得更好的系统性能;在天线数目较小或信噪比较高时,两模型具有较高的近似度.  相似文献   

“Indicators of vulnerability and adaptive capacity”: Towards a clarification of the science–policy interface     

Jochen Hinkel   《Global Environmental Change》2011,21(1):198-208

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渭北台塬县级城市空间扩张的分形研究     

邢海虹  马彩虹 《地域研究与开发》2015,(2):91-95

基于RS与GIS技术,采用分形理论对渭北台塬县级城市空间扩张特征进行分析。结果表明:1990—2010年台塬区县级城市加速扩张,总面积扩大了2.86倍,年均增长率达8.7%。1990,2000,2010年县级城市空间形态分维值均值分别为1.08,1.09,1.21,变异系数分别为3.06,3.09,3.93,城市空间形态总体简单但渐趋复杂且不断分化。异速生长模型标度因子b值均小于1,人均城市空间较为合理但远未达到最优状态。1990—2000年城市以填充型扩张为主,2000—2010年以外延型扩张为主,用地集约性呈下降趋势。空间上,铜川塬、宝鸡塬扩张较快,人地关系较差;咸阳塬扩张最快,人地关系一般;渭南塬扩张相对较慢,人地关系较优。总体上,亟待加强城市规划以构建节约型城市空间增长模式。  相似文献   

城镇化、郊区化与中国城市空间扩张     

龙茂乾  孟晓晨 《地域研究与开发》2015,(3)

城市经济学的理论表明,城市人口增长和交通改善等因素都会导致城市的空间扩张,但其作用的机理不同。结合中国的情况,将城市空间扩张的影响因素分为城镇化和郊区化2个市场化动力,二者都会推动城市空间扩张,导致城市边界向外延伸。历年截面数据和面板数据分析结果都表明,在中国城市空间扩张进程中,城镇化动力和郊区化动力都在起作用,城镇化动力占主导地位,与此同时,郊区化动力也有增强的趋势。人口增长和交通改善推动城市空间扩张,城市建成区面积扩张的推动力远大于阻力。作为城市空间扩张速度变化的分水岭以及市场作用下收入水平显著性改变的分界点,1998年的住房制度改革对于中国城市空间扩张进程有着里程碑式的意义。  相似文献   

政府规划约束下的城市空间增长多智能体模拟模型   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

谢中凯  李飞雪  李满春  陈振杰  周琛 《地理与地理信息科学》2015,31(2):60-64,69,127

构建政府规划约束下的包含多种类型智能体和环境因素的城市空间增长多智能体模拟模型,通过居民、开发商和政府三类智能体之间以及智能体与环境之间的相互作用模拟了城市空间增长情况。模型将城市建设用地规划区纳入政府的土地利用政策,探讨了政府规划因素对城市建设用地增长的影响,并根据土地集约利用的原则对模拟结果进行了优化。在Repast和ArcGIS的实验环境下,以南京市中心城区(长江以南)为研究区设置了四组土地利用情景,模拟了2001-2007年研究区的城市建设用地增长情况,对比不同情景下模型的模拟精度,说明正确合理的政府规划引导对城市空间增长的重要作用以及对模拟结果进行优化的必要性。该模型有助于揭示城市空间增长机制,为政府宏观调控政策和规划制定提供参考。  相似文献   

Carbon isotopic fractionation by desorption of shale gases     

《Marine and Petroleum Geology》2015

Geochemical studies of shale gas and conventional reservoirs within the Triassic Yanchang Formation of Xiasiwan and Yongning Field, Ordos Basin show that methane is isotopically depleted in ¹³C as compared to δ¹³C₁ calculated by the Ro based on the relationship between δ¹³C₁ and Ro. Geochemical fractionation during the adsorption/desorption process of shale system may play a significant part in influencing δ¹³C₁ values of shale gas. Two shale core samples from confined coring of the Yanchang Formation were adopted segmented desorption experiments to examine this phenomenon. The results show that the δ¹³C₁ of desorbed gas changes little in the first few phases of the experiments at low desorption levels, but become less negative rapidly when the fraction of desorbed methane exceeds 85%. The desorption process for the last 15% fraction of the methane from the shale samples shows a wide variation in δ¹³C₁ from −49‰ to −33.9‰. Moreover, δ¹³C₁ of all desorbed methane from the shale samples is substantially depleted in ¹³C than that calculated by Ro, according to Stahl and Carey's δ¹³C₁–Ro equation for natural gas generated from sapropelic organic matter. This shows some gases with isotopically enriched in ¹³C cannot be desorbed under the temperature and pressure conditions of the desorption experiments. This observation may be the real reason for the δ¹³C₁ of shale gases and conventional reservoirs becomes more negative in Xiasiwan and Yongning Fields, Ordos Basin. The magnitude of the deviation between the δ¹³C₁ of shale gas and that calculated by Ro may be related to the adsorption capacity of shale or the proportion of absorbed gases. In this way, we may be able to evaluate the relative adsorption capacity of shale in geological conditions by δ¹³C₁ of the shale gas, or by δ¹³C₁ of conventional gas which generated by the shale with certainty. The δ¹³C₁ of conventional gas in Dingbian and Yingwang Fields have no deviation because the TOC value of the hydrocarbon source rock is relatively low.  相似文献   

Governance fit for climate change in a Caribbean coastal-marine context     

《Marine Policy》2015

Coastal-marine systems in small island developing states of the Caribbean are highly vulnerable to both current and future climate change. Societies navigate these changes in part through processes of governance and the institutions through which governance takes place. The concept of institutional adaptive capacity is used to explore how governance processes and institutional arrangements can be adapted to match the scale and extent of climate change in a case study of the Soufriere Marine Management Area, St. Lucia. Institutional adaptive capacity is analyzed based on the following factors: institutional variety, analytical deliberation and nesting and networks. The analysis is based on 36 semi-structured interviews conducted with key informants from NGOs, cooperatives, management authorities and government agencies. The findings suggest that governance to address climate change in the case study is contingent upon developing holistic, integrated management systems, improving flexibility in existing collaborative decision making processes, augmenting the capacity of local management authorities with support from higher-level government, exploring opportunities for private–social partnerships, and developing adequate social–environmental monitoring programs. These findings have potential implications and lessons for similar settings throughout the Caribbean.  相似文献   

基于GIS的近海剩余环境容量计算模型   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

柯丽娜  王权明  徐丽雯  姜昕  杨山力 《海洋科学》2015,39(7):112-117

探讨一种基于GIS 克里格插值方法的剩余环境容量计算方法, 通过GIS 地统计分析插值模型将水质模拟问题转化为数学统计问题, 充分利用水质水体、沉积物监测数据, 采用克里格插值法对污染物浓度和水深在局部海域内进行插值, 将研究区域离散为一个个的均匀栅格单元, 比较每个单元污染物浓度与水质目标之间的差值, 从而估算得到研究海域的剩余环境容量。通过2009 年8 月锦州湾剩余环境容量的计算实例表明, 基于GIS 的剩余环境容量初步计算方法在资料缺乏地区是十分简便、有效的, 这为海域开发利用区环境管理与规划提供了参考。  相似文献